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<Research>G Sachs Mildly Trims Earnings Forecasts for YUM CHINA; Mgmt's Decision Not to Raise Results Guidance Triggers Negative Mkt Reaction
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YUM CHINA (09987.HK) (YUMC.US) delivered in-line 1Q25 results that offered positive surprises with same-store sales growth stabilizing YoY and restaurant margins improving, though these gains were offset by a slower pace of new store openings and slightly weaker-than-expected per-store sales, Goldman Sachs opined in its report.

YUM CHINA's overall business strategy, as well as its guidance for full-year new store openings, system sales growth, and profit margins remain unchanged.

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In Goldman Sachs' opinion, the negative reaction to YUM CHINA's share price after the results announcement reflected slower quarterly revenue growth and management's decision not to raise full-year guidance despite enhanced same-store sales growth and margin trends. Management also highlighted overall demand uncertainty and likely smaller margin improvement for the rest of the year.

Due to the dilution of per-store sales from small-sized stores, Goldman Sachs mildly trimmed its 2025-27 net profit forecasts for YUM CHINA by 1-4%, while reducing its target price from $452 to $447, with a Buy rating remaining in place.
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